Ukraine is fucked

Those were the days...

I think it´s obvious that Ukraine is fucked. Not to put too fine spin on it. The United States and NATO are not going to intervene militarily to stop Putin´s full scale invasion. And the sanctions? Probably a joke. Biden said explicitly that the US are *not* going to sanction Russian oil. And oil prices are extremely high at the moment. Nor will Russia be excluded from the international SWIFT system, since the Western nations want to get payments for their exports! Russia will simply wait out the sanctions. If Ukraine surrenders relatively quickly, every globalist leech will try to crawl back to Kiev (or even Moscow) ASAP, the Germans will want to resume Nordstream 2, and so on. There will be mounting political pressure to lift most of the sanctions and accept the Finlandization of Ukraine as a fait accompli. So I think Natasha Russian Propaganda (or whatever her name was) will be able to resume her shopping rounds at Fifth Avenue, buy a house at Nice, and so on...

What, then, is the goal of the US in the present conflict? Obviously not to save the Ukraine. I assume the goal is to re-unite NATO and EU under US leadership ("America is back"). A new Cold War with Russia could be used to accomplish this. Germany and France must be made to fall in line, and the same is true of the various "East" European nations. It would certainly be a big prize for the US if Sweden and Finland joined NATO. 

If the Biden Administration (which doesn´t scare anyone, certainly not after the debacle in Afghanistan) can really accomplish this, remains to be seen. I suspect the answer is "no". For the reasons mentioned above. And perhaps a few others (fall out from the COVID crisis, the economic crisis, and so on). 

One thing that could upset everyone´s applecarts would be if the Ukrainians refuse to surrender, and start an armed uprising of some sort against Russian occupation forces and/or a quisling (or is it Kuusinen) regime in Kiev. Such a resistance could perhaps get support from dissident establishment factions in the West. What happens next, nobody knows.

One thing is for sure: Ukraine is geopolitically cursed, so unless Russia simply collapses in a new "time of troubles", this conflict will continue in various ways throughout our respective lives...