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| "You have to give me some slack, Jens, I wanna pivot to Coke-in-China" |
Trotskyist group "International Marxist Tendency" considers a war between Russia and the United States over Ukraine extremely unlikely, although minor incursions by Russia into Ukraine can´t be ruled out. The US is bluffing and will probably make concessions to Putin, having already strongly indicated an unwillingness to walk the talk.
Germany and France are against a war, the Germans being strongly dependent on Russian gas. The United States really wants to pivot to the Pacific region and confront China, making a compromise with Russia in Europe natural. In general, the US is weaker than Russia, something Putin of course knows.
The article doesn´t discuss why the US is whipping up a war scare, if that´s what they are doing. To deflect from certain domestic troubles, perhaps? The article may overestimate the rationality of the actors involved...
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