Saturday, November 9, 2024

Predictive power

 


I´m going to play the role of lazy opinionated midwit here, hardly even reading the Wikipedia article on the topic, but....

Why on earth did Allan Lichtman predict a Kamala Harris victory in the 2024 POTUS elections? As far as I can tell, only two (or perhaps three) of the thirteen "keys" were true. Hence, ten or eleven were false. Therefore, the prediction should have been that Trump would win. By a freakin´ landslide!

7, 8 and maybe 9 were true. 1-6 and 10-13 were false. 

Or am I missing something?

The Keys to the White House  


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