Sunday, August 28, 2022

Ascientific quote-mine


On-off-gadfly Sabine Hossenfelder (yes, she´s German) takes on (or is it off) the Big Bang theory in the YouTube clip linked above. She reaches the startling conclusion (which will be quote-mined by Answers in Genesis and Ken Hovind from now on) that...wait for it, dude...we don´t really know how the universe began?!

Which means the Great Pumpkin of the Gaps did it! 

But seriously... 

Hossenfelder believes that the current Big Bang cosmology is the most scientific explanation for the origins of the known universe, since it´s the simplest one (Occam´s razor). However, we can´t strictly speaking *know* whether its true or false. It "works" in the sense that the initial state of the universe plus various mathematical equations can "predict" the present state, but that´s all. The theory can´t prove if the equations used are the right ones. This is a problem, since many other postulated initial states with quite different equations *also* "predict" the present state of the cosmos. There is no empirical way to tell which ones are right, only our philosophical or methodological commitment to simple explanations. 

Indeed, there is neither an empirical nor a mathematical way to tell how the initial state actually looked like or behaved. This is why the initial state is a singularity. Science breaks down at this point. The Big Bang theory isn´t unscientific, but it could be termed ascientific. It´s neither here nor there. This is why all kinds of alternative theories about the origins of the universe can be put forward (one is called "geometrogenesis") and even sound convincing, but ultimately none can be proven. 

Or so Hossenfelder believes. I assume proponents of, say, Eric Lerner´s model (which denies the Big Bang) would say that the standard cosmology only works because of ad hoc assumptions (such as postulating the exact amount of dark matter and energy needed for the model to "work"), and that the theory therefore isn´t particularly simple at all...

Still, an interesting contribution. What if the answer to the question "how did the universe began" really is "We.Don´t.Know". How come we haven´t been told about this for the past 100 years or so? Fear of "therefore God", perhaps?  


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