An interesting but somewhat difficult article from 2018, arguing that Putin´s Russia lags behind the West and China (and even the former USSR) when it comes to science and technology. It "only" deals with the civilian sector, but it´s difficult to believe that the backwardness, corruption and cheating in the non-military sector doesn´t affect the military-industrial complex, too.
My very tentative conclusion: if Ukraine (which is even more underdeveloped than Russia, according to the author) is provided with heavy doses of Western aid, it probably can defeat Russia.
Less tentative conclusion: the real enemy is China. Russia is just a proxy for Beijing, producing whatever raw materials they need to fuel the New Chinese Century...
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