Sunday, January 28, 2024

Redefining success in Ukraine

 


The new US strategy for Ukraine is completely compatible with the secret Russian "peace plan" reported earlier. If Ukraine is no longer trying to retake occupied territory, it will become easier to sign a "peace deal" in which said territory is formally ceded to Russia. 

Unless the "peace plan" is Russian disinfo, "leaked" in advance of the US change of strategy, precisely in order to make the Biden admin look weak!

Two other (not unrelated) things also struck me. 

First, note that Ukraine is completely dependent on US (and more broadly, Western) military and financial assistance to fight the Russians. I suppose this could be a problem for those leftists who support Ukraine, while still pretending to be against NATO and the US. How is Ukraine *not* an "imperialist stooge" fighting a NATO proxy war against the Russian Federation? I support Ukraine, but logically that means that you can´t just "dissolve NATO". That would be like biting the hand that feeds you! 

Second, it´s perfectly possible that the new strategy is necessary, not simply because the famed Spring Offensive was a failure, but precisely because the West no longer has the capacity to arm Ukraine to the extent necessary. But the reason for *that* must be that the *Western arms industry* is lagging behind schedule. It´s not "Ukraine" (such as it is) that is loosing its war with Russia (with our friendly support), it´s *the West itself* failing to fight Putin´s advances. 

But that, in turn, means that NATO can essentially never be dissolved, since the only way to stop Russia is a NATO re-armament. Therefore, the leftists who support Ukraine are faced with a stark choice in the years ahead. 

OK, let me guess. Most of them will dump Ukraine and pivot towards supporting Gaza and mass immigration? Or defending Iran...   

Biden admin working on new strategy to support Ukraine

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