Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Predictions

 

Credit: Arunraj Foundation

Maybe I already "predicted" this, but for the record: I don´t think Russia is crazy enough to launch an actual military attack on a NATO nation. 

If they attack anything outside Ukraine, my guess is Moldova or Svalbard. They are quasi-Western and non-NATO territories already controlled by half by the Russians (Transnistria and Barentsburg, respectively). But even more likely is "more of the same": cyber-sabotage, influence operations, perhaps blowing up a few arms depots.  This conflict is going to be be decided in Ukraine...or in European elections.

Or perhaps American ones. 

No comments:

Post a Comment