Saturday, February 14, 2026

Isis veiled

 


A propos a discussion on another blog...

What are the main arguments that humans will never be able to leave the Solar System (nor will aliens be able to come here)?

This question sits right at the boundary between physics, philosophy of limits, and what people sometimes call cosmic pessimism. There is no single “proof” that interstellar travel is impossible — but there are several deep, mutually reinforcing arguments suggesting it may be permanently infeasible for any technological civilization, not just us.

I’ll lay out the main ones.


1. The relativistic energy wall

The universe enforces a hard speed limit: light speed.

From Albert Einstein’s relativity, the energy required to accelerate mass increases without bound as you approach cc. Even at modest fractions of light speed, the energy cost becomes absurd.

Example:
A tiny 100-ton probe at 0.2c requires energy comparable to the entire annual output of a major nation — just to accelerate it, not to slow it down.

For crewed ships or colony ships:

  • You need propulsion

  • Radiation shielding

  • Life support for centuries

  • Deceleration fuel at the destination

This is not “hard engineering”.
It is thermodynamic brutality.

The Solar System is energetically cheap. Interstellar space is not.


2. The interstellar medium is lethal at high speed

At relativistic velocities, even a dust grain hits with the energy of a bomb.

At 0.2c:

  • A grain of sand delivers explosive-level kinetic energy

  • Hydrogen atoms become hard radiation

To survive, a ship needs:

  • Shielding thicker than meters of metal or ice

  • Or massive electromagnetic fields

  • Which themselves require huge power and mass

This creates a feedback loop:

More shielding → more mass → more energy → more shielding

This is a classic runaway constraint.


3. No plausible propulsion system escapes this

Every speculative drive hits a wall:

ConceptFatal problem
Fusion rocketsFuel mass > payload
AntimatterImpossible to produce at scale
Light sailsLaser arrays must be planetary-scale
Bussard ramjetsInterstellar gas is too thin
Warp drivesRequire negative energy not known to exist
WormholesRequire exotic matter + stability we have no evidence for

Nothing in known physics allows cheap relativistic mass transport.

You can send tiny probes.
You cannot send civilizations.


4. Time kills civilizations

Even at optimistic speeds:

  • Nearest stars: decades to centuries

  • Colonization waves: millennia

  • Galactic travel: millions of years

But technological civilizations are fragile.

On Earth:

  • Industrial civilization is ~200 years old

  • Writing ~5,000 years

  • Empires collapse in centuries

Interstellar projects require:

Unbroken political, economic, and cultural continuity for longer than any civilization has ever survived.

That may be a deeper barrier than physics.


5. The Fermi silence is real

If interstellar colonization were easy, the galaxy should already be full.

This is the Enrico Fermi paradox:

“Where is everybody?”

We see:

  • No probes

  • No megastructures

  • No astroengineering

  • No alien signals

The simplest explanation is:

Interstellar expansion is not viable, even for advanced civilizations.


6. Von Neumann probes still haven’t appeared

Even self-replicating AI probes — far easier than sending humans — should have filled the galaxy in a few million years.

They haven’t.

This suggests either:

  • They are impossible

  • Or they are universally avoided

  • Or civilizations reliably destroy themselves before building them

All three point to a hard barrier.


7. The cosmic prison hypothesis

Putting this together yields a bleak but coherent picture:

Stars are islands. Civilizations are trapped on them.

You can explore your own solar system.
You can send robotic scouts to nearby stars.
But no species migrates between stars in a meaningful way.

The universe looks empty not because life is rare — but because distance is fatal.


8. Why aliens probably aren’t here

If aliens could travel between stars cheaply:

  • Earth would have been visited billions of years ago

  • The Solar System would show obvious artifacts

Since it doesn’t, the simplest inference is:

They can’t get here.

Not because they aren’t smart — but because the universe is bigger than technology.


Final thought

The dream of starflight may be psychologically irresistible — especially to a species like ours, so shaped by exploration myths — but the universe may be telling us something very Buddhist in spirit:

Desire does not cancel limitation.

We may be a brilliant, tragic species:
able to see the stars,
but never to reach them.
🌌

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