Another John Michael Greer extravaganza. With some interesting observations on the military tactics of both Russians and Ukrainians. Would actually explain a lot of things!
The short form: Ukraine probably did stop the Russians "for real" around Kiev, using David-versus-Goliath tactics, but unfortunately for the Ukrainians, the Russian military adapted to the new situation, with both sides reverting to World War I-style tactics in eastern Ukraine. And since the Russians have more ammo, and potentially much more manpower, they now have the advantage. JMG believes that Ukraine might become a second Afghanistan, with the collapse of the United States empire only a few years ahead. (Personally, I hope Russia will somehow be defeated in Ukraine, since I fear a resurrected Russian Empire on my doorstep. But then, I don´t live in East Providence, Rhode Island!)
I didn´t know that Turkey have the second-largest military in NATO, btw. That explains why the Turks can be so cocky towards the other NATO allies, essentially threatening to stop Swedish and Finnish NATO membership unless various demands are met (really demands *on the US* - the NATO leader - rather than tiny little Sweden). Note also the fun fact that Greer is the Archdruid Emeritus of AODA, a small esoteric group in the United States. It´s not always you read a capable foreign policy analysis actually written by a "Druid"!
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