Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Dancing on the brink

 


John Michael Greer´s unsurprising take on the current world situation (link below). Well, he´s not entirely wrong, is he? 

Note the impending collapse of the dollar-based world economy, the failure of sanctions against Russia, and the rise of Asia at the expense of "the West". 

Note also what he writes about AI. He´s absolutely right that most stuff office employees have to write these days can relatively easily be done by AI. I say that from personal experience...

One of my reflections is that the changes mention could very well happen even if Russia is defeated in Ukraine. China and India might still dominate a post-Russian world economy. Indeed, China might gobble up half of Russia if that country somehow collapses! The US might have to create a more exclusive and protectionist Western bloc, which only rules say one third or one quarter of the globe. 

On the other hand, if the global economy de facto collapses, maybe there won´t be enough technological know-how to make those accursed AIs...

A downside of the essay is that it doesn´t factor in climate change, which is upsetting the applecarts already as we speak.  

Dancing on the brink

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