Imagine a Bronze Age document from circa 2014 BC, saying something like this: "The Great Peninsula at the Sea of Jason will be attacked by an evil empire. The Argonauts of the West will aid the Scythians. Know that I AM Zeus, Your Lord and Savior".
Would we take this to be an authentic supernatural prophecy about the Crimean crisis of 2014 AD and the subsequent war between Russia and Ukraine? Of course not. The Bronze Age author is simply describing his own time. People have been fighting over Crimea since time immemorial. The reason is geography, not prophecy.
Now, apply the above insight to Biblical prophecy and Mideast geopolitics.
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